Republicans continue to discuss the idea of a second reconciliation tax bill, which could address a range of tax issues, such as healthcare, housing affordability, retirement incentives, or tariff refunds. President Trump has been consistently cool to the idea, but Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Hassett recently said it is under consideration.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., said on Fox News that he is “soliciting ideas from the relevant committees” to see whether any issue “would get 50 votes.” He specifically highlighted retirement accounts as “a great idea,” but acknowledged that “there’s a lot of work that has to happen in the House and the Senate in order to make something like that become a reality.”
House Ways and Means Committee Chair Jason Smith, R-Mo., continues to discount the possibility. “I would love a second reconciliation bill, but I can count votes,” he told a Politico reporter. “And we do not have the votes.”
- Key Impact: Republicans remain deeply divided on their tax priorities. The narrow majorities in both chambers would make a reconciliation bill difficult, and the administration is increasingly focused on the tax regulatory space.
Indexing Capital Gains to Inflation
Sens. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Tim Scott, R-S.C., are reportedly pushing Treasury to issue guidance that would index the basis of assets to inflation for purposes of calculating capital gain. President Trump openly flirted with the idea during his first term but ultimately declined to pursue it.
"I've studied indexing for a long time and I think it will be perceived, if I do it, as somewhat elitist. I don't want to do that," President Trump told reporters in 2019. "I think indexing is really probably better for the upper-income groups."
The administration has not discussed the idea openly in the president’s second term and it was not mentioned in the State of the Union address. But Treasury has been fairly ambitious in recent regulations, and it’s possible President Trump’s thinking on the issue has evolved.